{"id":769,"date":"2020-06-24T18:22:37","date_gmt":"2020-06-24T18:22:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/?p=769"},"modified":"2020-06-24T18:23:40","modified_gmt":"2020-06-24T18:23:40","slug":"forests-can-be-risky-climate-investments-to-offset-greenhouse-gas-emissions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/index.php\/2020\/06\/24\/forests-can-be-risky-climate-investments-to-offset-greenhouse-gas-emissions\/","title":{"rendered":"Forests can be risky climate investments to offset greenhouse gas emissions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"780\" height=\"439\" src=\"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/A-territorial-government-photo-shows-a-prescribed-burn-operation-at-Plummers-Lodge-during-the-2014-wildfire-season.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-773\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/A-territorial-government-photo-shows-a-prescribed-burn-operation-at-Plummers-Lodge-during-the-2014-wildfire-season.jpg 780w, https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/A-territorial-government-photo-shows-a-prescribed-burn-operation-at-Plummers-Lodge-during-the-2014-wildfire-season-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/A-territorial-government-photo-shows-a-prescribed-burn-operation-at-Plummers-Lodge-during-the-2014-wildfire-season-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><figcaption><em>Mega-fires raged across the Northwest Territories, Canada in 2014, driven by record breaking hot, dry conditions<\/em> (territorial government photo)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Given the tremendous ability of forests to absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, some governments are counting on planted forests as offsets for greenhouse gas emissions\u2014a sort of climate investment. As with any investment, however, it\u2019s important to understand the risks. If a forest goes bust\u2014through severe droughts or wildfires, researchers say\u2014much of that stored carbon could go up in smoke.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-large\"><p>There have been optimistic assessments of how valuable forests could be in mitigating climate change over coming decades, but all of those have somewhat surprisingly overlooked or underestimated the factors that constrain forest carbon sequestration in the face of&nbsp;extreme temperatures, drought, fire and insect disturbance<\/p><cite>Scott Goetz<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Professor&nbsp;<strong>Scott Goetz<\/strong>&nbsp;of Northern Arizona University\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/nau.edu\/school-of-informatics-computing-and-cyber-systems\/\">School of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems<\/a>&nbsp;and associate professor&nbsp;<strong>Deborah Huntzinger<\/strong>&nbsp;of NAU\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/nau.edu\/ses\/\">School of Earth and Sustainability<\/a>&nbsp;co-authored a paper published in&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1126\/science.aaz7005\"><em>Science<\/em><\/a>&nbsp;finding that forests can be best deployed in the fight against climate change with a proper understanding of the risks to forests that climate change itself imposes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Built into forest-based natural climate strategies is the idea that forests are able to store carbon for at least 50 to 100 years.  Such permanence is not always a given, with the very real chance that the carbon stored in forest mitigation projects could go up in flames or be lost due to insect infestations, severe drought or hurricanes in the coming decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"774\" src=\"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/forestrisks-1024x774.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-772\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/forestrisks-1024x774.png 1024w, https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/forestrisks-300x227.png 300w, https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/forestrisks-768x581.png 768w, https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/forestrisks.png 1065w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The paper\u2019s authors encourage scientists to focus increased attention on assessing forest climate risks and share the best of their data and predictive models with policymakers so that climate strategies including forests can have the best long-term impact. For example, the climate models that scientists use are detailed and cutting-edge, but aren\u2019t widely used outside the scientific community, so policymakers might be relying on science that is decades old.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-large\"><p>Good science can better help identify and quantify risks to forest carbon stocks and lead to better policy decisions<\/p><cite>Deborah Huntzinger<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230; Continue reading at <a href=\"http:\/\/news.nau.edu\/stored-carbon-forests\/#.XvOZYmhKiiM\">NAU News<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230; Head straight to the <a href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/368\/6497\/eaaz7005\">Science<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Given the tremendous ability of forests to absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, some governments are counting on planted forests as offsets for greenhouse gas emissions\u2014a sort of climate investment. As with any investment, however, it\u2019s important to understand the risks. If a forest goes bust\u2014through severe droughts or wildfires, researchers say\u2014much of that stored &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/index.php\/2020\/06\/24\/forests-can-be-risky-climate-investments-to-offset-greenhouse-gas-emissions\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Forests can be risky climate investments to offset greenhouse gas emissions&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/769"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=769"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/769\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":775,"href":"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/769\/revisions\/775"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=769"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=769"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goetzlab.rc.nau.edu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=769"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}